Significant rain is almost certainly on its way to western Mexico soon, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, which said Thursday that an area of low pressure is likely to form this weekend a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
“Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico,” the center said, noting that the “formation chance” through seven days is “high,” at around 70 percent. A day earlier, three Mexican federal agencies echoed the U.S. center’s analysis, saying there was a 50-percent chance of an area of low pressure forming off the coasts of Michoacan and Guerrero within the next seven days.