The birth rate in Jalisco is sharply declining, a trend that mirrors similar patterns across Latin America, as well as in the United States, Canada and much of Europe.
According to projections from the Jalisco Institute of Statistical and Geographic Information (IIEG), by 2030, the population of children aged 0 to 17 will make up 26.8 percent of the state’s total, down from 34.9 percent in 2010 and 54.7 percent in 1970.
In the next five years, the 0-4 age group in Jalisco is expected to decline by six percent, which translates to around 41,000 fewer births, according to IIEG reports.
This trend is evident across Mexico, particularly in central and northern states. Mexico’s fertility rate has dropped significantly from around five to seven children per woman in the 1960s to just 1.8 children per woman in 2022, according to World Bank data.
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